Yesterday I offered some speculation about future vacancies on the Supreme Court, and the way
Trump’s nominations to fill those vacancies could impact the ideological
balance of the Court. Today, I wanted to briefly discuss the specific kind of
person Trump should name to the Court.
The obvious example for Trump to follow
in choosing a future nominee is now-Justice Neil Gorsuch. The Gorsuch
nomination was universally well-received by the Right on its announcement, and
Gorsuch satisfied all three of the criteria vital to a successful Trump Supreme
Court pick—ideology, age, and placement on the Trump campaign’s list of
possible nominees. A potential second pick should fit those three criteria just
as well.
The most important qualification will
obviously be that of judicial philosophy, and the vetting process should
actively seek out every available piece of evidence to determine how each
potential nominee feels about past major cases, as well as issues such as
federalism, separation of powers, and an expansive versus originalist view of
the Constitution. This attention to detail is particularly important in light
of the recent history of Republican judicial nominees, and their varying
degrees of adherence to the original meaning and text of the Constitution. For
every Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Neil Gorsuch nominated to the Court,
there has been an Anthony Kennedy, David Souter, or John Roberts.
The age factor is perhaps the most
underappreciated of the many that go into determining who the next Supreme
Court justice might be, but it is also one of the most important, and Trump
should nominate someone who is in their 50's or even 40's, and could be
expected to serve on the Court for many years to come. Again, Gorsuch should be
the model here—at 49, he is by far the youngest Justice currently on the Court,
and absent any unforeseen circumstances should still be capable of deciding
cases twenty or even thirty years from now.
Finally, Trump should choose a nominee
from the list of possible Supreme Court appointments he released during the
campaign. That list provided a guarantee that the nominee would be a reliable
conservative, and was a key campaign promise. Though it was understood at the
time to primarily apply to the vacancy created by the death of Antonin Scalia,
Trump also said that he would use the list to choose future nominees as well,
should further vacancies arise during his time in office. The list is replete with individuals who would
make fantastic Supreme Court justices, and it would be a mistake for Trump to
begin the process of selecting a second nominee by looking anywhere else.
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