Monday, November 7, 2016

The End Is Almost Here


It’s been a long five years sixteen months, but we are finally at the end of Campaign 2016. By the end of this week, we will have a new president-elect, the fate of the Senate will (presumably) be known, and America can finally begin the process of healing and rebuilding. At least until 2018, that is. And expect the jockeying for 2020 to begin in earnest by Christmas.

Up until two weeks ago, I was certain Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President. After the FBI’s announcement that they were reopening (and then re-closing) the email investigation, I am no longer convinced of that fact. I still think it more likely than not, but not a done deal as it was a few weeks ago. The good news is that, if Clinton does win, it will probably not be in an Electoral College landslide, which means that Republicans will probably retain the House, and the Senate is at worst still a tossup.

This of course has much more to do with the fact that Clinton is a superbly bad candidate, rather than that Trump is a magnificently good one. Were Ted Cruz, Scott Walker, or Marco Rubio the nominee, we could well be looking at a Republican Electoral College landslide, even factoring in the endless Clinton mantras about electing the first woman president, and the House and Senate would be practically in the bag. We would be looking at a historic conservative victory, were it not for a plurality of the Republican primary electorate—many of whom were actually Democrats.

But regardless, the die has been cast, and we will all (probably) know the outcome by the end of this week.

Next week, the hard part begins—uniting a nation, rebuilding a party, and reinvigorating the conservative movement.


Update: Here's my Electoral College map prediction for tomorrow night:
.


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

No comments:

Post a Comment