This
is part two of a discussion I began on Tuesday, regarding rebuilding the
Republican Party in the Age of Trump. Part one can be found here.
As I wrote on Tuesday, essentially the
results of the 2016 election offer problems and opportunities for both parties.
The Democrats are looking at significant short-term problems (exacerbated by an
extremely unfavorable Senate map for the 2018 midterms), but could also leverage
their newfound status as the opposition party into long-term gains, much as
Republicans have during the Obama years. Republicans, meanwhile, are
strengthened in the short term, but this outward unity could backfire if not
handled properly—again, similar to the lessons learned by Democrats during
Obama’s presidency.
But what will this newly resurgent
Republican Party look like with Donald Trump at the helm? And will it remain
the party of choice for conservatives?
The short answer is that we simply won’t
know the answers to either question for months, perhaps years, yet. Only a week
after becoming the president-elect, Trump still hasn’t named any members of his
incoming Cabinet, although many of the top names reportedly under consideration
(now including Ted Cruz for Attorney General and Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach for DHS
Secretary) are promising. And the fact that the Heritage Foundation is
apparently playing an outsized role in the vetting of names and setting of
proposed policy for the transition is encouraging, as well.
And if we have learned anything from
this election, it is to always be careful in predicting the future.
During the election, of course, the was
ample evidence to suggest that a Trump administration would be just as liberal
as a Clinton administration, from his past statements to muddled answers on
everything from abortion to immigration. That evidence has been exhaustively
noted
both here and elsewhere, and there’s no reason to rehash it again now.
Since the election, there have been both
good signs and bad—the aforementioned names reportedly under consideration one
the one hand, and the possibility of big new spending projects such as a major
infrastructure bill on the other—with the result that overall, we have about as
clear a picture of the incoming Trump administration as we did during the
primaries. Actions, as they say, speak louder than words, and the first
concrete actions Trump will take (aside from naming Mike Pence as his running
mate) will be the announcement of the incoming Cabinet.
The most important thing Trump could do
to prove all of his fiercest conservative critics wrong one more time, would be
to extend an olive branch and a welcoming hand to those same critics. The news
that people such as Cruz are under consideration for a Cabinet position—and, as
I write this, word
that Trump could meet with Mitt Romney this weekend—is already more than many
of us expected or dared to hope for. But again, this is all just rumor and
speculation until decisions actually start being made.
Until then, all we on the outside can do
is watch and hope for the best. This could go down as either one of the best
presidencies for conservatism, or one of the worst.
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