As so many people have stated since
Donald Trump became the presumptive GOP nominee for president, he is not a
typical nominee, and this is not a typical year. Voting for a third-party
candidate and abandoning the Republican nominee in the general election, once
unthinkable to many conservatives, has become the final possible course of
action to stop Trump from winning the Presidency (assuming he officially wins
the Republican nomination in Cleveland).
If he is the nominee, it remains to be
seen to what extent he will reshape the party. If he wins, I think it likely
that he will have a significant long-term, possibly permanent effect on the
party platform, and what overarching philosophies become acceptable for future
nominees to federal and state offices. If, on the other hand, Trump loses to
Hillary Clinton, presumably in dramatic fashion, I think it equally likely that
his nomination will have a negligible long-term impact with regard to the
platforms of the party and of future candidates. The party as a whole would
remain that of limited government and free markets. Of course, it will take years
for the Trump effect to be clear either way.
But until it does become clear, it would
be a mistake for conservatives to see the 2016 election as the new normal in
terms of abandoning a Republican nominee who isn’t sufficiently conservative.
The fact remains that there will never be a candidate, or indeed any person,
with whom we agree 100%. Compromises will have to be made in terms of deciding
which candidates we will support in the general election, in order to prevent
an even worse candidate from being elected.
The fundamental difference between this
presidential election and all the other times—at both the national and state
level—the GOP has nominated a less-than-conservative candidate is that this is
one of those rare instances in which there is truly no difference between the
two major party nominees. In 2008, John McCain was no conservative (nor is he
today), and was opposed fervently by many conservatives in the primaries. But
there was also no doubt that he was both more conservative and possessing of
better personal character than Barack Obama. The same is true of Mitt Romney,
Bob Dole, or indeed any other Republican nominee for president over the past
few decades.
The same cannot be said today. There is
literally no difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, from policy
positions and governing philosophy to moral character, and so the normal
arguments for supporting a moderate nominee must be tossed aside. Trump is not
merely a moderate in the McCain mold; he is a liberal in the mold of both
Barack Obama and the very woman he is running against.
For good or ill—and there are strong
arguments to be made for both sides—the political party system in America is,
for the time being, an inherently two-party system. As long as one of those
parties remains a conservative one in both name and substance, with hundreds of
honorable candidates for federal and state offices across the country, working
within the system will yield far more effective short- and long-term gains then
attempting to work outside it.
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