Yesterday, in typical deal-making mode,
President Trump made two major decisions, one certain to please conservatives
and the other just as certain to assuage liberals. He announced
that the United States would withdraw from the Paris climate agreement, negotiated
by the Obama administration in 2015; and, earlier in the day, signed
a waiver that kept the American embassy in Israel in Tel Aviv, rather than
moving it to the Israeli capital in Jerusalem, as he had promised repeatedly
during the presidential campaign.
So, one promise kept, another broken.
Sounds like a typical day in the presidency of Donald Trump.
I agree with the conservative
conventional wisdom that the Paris agreement was a bad deal for the country,
and that the embassy should move to Jerusalem immediately. Persuasive arguments
for both positions are fairly easy to find, and I won’t rehash them now. But
what I find interesting is that the announcements of both decisions occurred on
the same day, fitting what has become a pattern for this administration: bad
news is regularly paired with good, or, more specifically, the announcement of
one policy guaranteed to find favor with those on the Right is always paired
with the announcement of another guaranteed to unsettle conservatives.
In general, this isn’t an unusual
strategy in politics, or for that matter in any business involved in public
relations. But I find it interesting how closely the Trump administration has
been keeping to this form of one good thing for the Right, coupled with one
bad. Before the Paris withdrawal and the keeping of the embassy in Tel Aviv, it
was the (good) federal budget blueprint, coupled with the (bad) push for the
American Health Care Act. The pattern even dates back to Trump’s cabinet
announcements from the transition period, where one pick that might be greeted
unenthusiastically by many Republicans was often announced alongside another
guaranteed to excite the base. And there have been many other examples of the
same basic pattern over the course of the Trump presidency to date.
So the next time the administration
makes an announcement that is cause for celebration, wait to see what the bad
news is going to be. Conversely, if there is an announcement of a policy
conservatives are guaranteed to disagree with, expect some good news to emerge
soon after. On this, at least, the Trump White House seems to operate like
clockwork.
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